Oct 23, 2011

When Funds Lend Stock, Who Gains?


You wouldn't want to make a loan to someone without knowing what you will earn on the loan. But if you own mutual funds or exchange-traded funds, you might be doing exactly that.
Hedge funds and other traders need to borrow stocks and bonds from time to time in order to execute their strategies. To do so, they often turn to mutual funds and ETFs. In return for lending their holdings, the funds pick up a bit of extra income.
Many mutual fund and ETF investors don't realize that their securities can be lent out to short-sellers and other borrowers. As Jason Zweig explains on The News Hub, that translates to good and bad news for investors.
But it is fiendishly difficult for shareholders in the funds to tell whether they are getting a square deal. That matters because, in today's markets, small differences in income can make big differences in return.
A new study finds that some funds earn drastically less than others on their securities-lending operations even when the funds themselves are similar.
One possibility: "The people managing your money may sometimes be managing it more to benefit themselves than to benefit you," says finance professor John Adams of the University of Texas at Arlington, one of the study's authors.
Mr. Adams says the gap in the amount of money investors ultimately collect for their lending largess is determined primarily by who acts as the middleman. More income for a lending agent that is related to the fund manager means less income for the fund's investors.
When funds engage in securities lending, the borrower gives them collateral in return. A securities lending agent helps the cash and investments change hands. Funds can act as their own "internal" lending agent, can hire an independent third party or can use an agent affiliated with the firm that also manages the funds.
Mr. Adams and his colleagues found that when a fund uses an agent that is part of the same company that runs the fund, the returns to investors from securities lending are 70% lower than at funds that use other lending agents.
The potential payoff can add up. The average return earned by portfolios that lent U.S. stocks ran about 0.04% in the third quarter of this year, according to Data Explorers, a London-based firm that tracks securities lending.
Christophe Vorlet
A new study finds that some funds earn drastically less than others on their securities-lending operations even when the funds themselves are similar.
The smaller and more rarely traded the stock, the more lending income it tends to produce. While companies in the Standard & Poor's 500-stock index generated just 0.02%, the average small stock produced 0.13%, says Data Explorers.
"If properly managed, a securities-lending program is a source of income for the fund with virtually no risk, and those are hard to find," says Bill Pridmore of William F. Pridmore Ltd., a consulting firm that specializes in the area.
Most mutual funds and ETFs get to retain 65% to 85% of the lending revenue, with the agent getting the rest, according to industry experts. While most funds make at least some money on their lending operations, there still is "a very wide disparity in how much lending agents charge funds for their services," Mr. Pridmore says.
Some industry experts dispute Mr. Adams's findings. Christopher Kunkle, director of securities lending and market risk at the Risk Management Association, a nonprofit trade group in Philadelphia, says that once you adjust for different investment guidelines and portfolios, "I don't know of any instance from my professional experience or from the industry showing that mutual funds are treated any differently than other clients, whether the lending agent is affiliated with the sponsor or not."
There isn't any requirement for funds to disclose how much of their loan revenue they split with the lending agent, and most don't include that information in their reports to shareholders. It virtually is impossible for investors to get anything but the most rudimentary information about how their own assets are being lent or to evaluate whether they are getting a fair shake.
Your fund's schedule of investments and its Form N-Q filing, available at www.sec.gov, show whether it is lending securities. You can try calling your fund company to ask how big a cut the agent takes of your fund's lending revenue, but your odds of getting a useful answer aren't good, Mr. Adams says.
"With more transparency, there would be more clear-cut information," says Bo Abesamis, a securities-lending and custody expert at Callan Associates, an investment-consulting firm in San Francisco. "Then we could put the portfolio managers and the boards of directors to task for how the program is structured."
Fund boards should question why they are using a lending agent affiliated with the manager and whether the lending could be more profitable if done by the fund itself. "For some funds, that may not be practical," says Mr. Adams, "but they should at least be asking those questions."

Can bank stocks bail out your portfolio?


By Matt Andrejczak, MarketWatch
SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) — For a bargain-hunting investor, buying bank stocks after a 26% rout this year may sound too good to pass up. But uncertainty about European debt and U.S. monetary policy has raised the risk that these cheap stocks could fall further.
“We could go all different ways,” said Channing Smith, director of equity strategies at Tulsa-based Capital Advisors, which runs the Capital Advisors Growth FundCIAOX +1.54% . “Are they a good buy? Yes. Could they get cheaper? Yes. It makes it very tricky for investors to figure out what to do.”
Buying bank stocks now: value play or trap? 
 PRICE-TO-BOOKSTOCK PRICE TARGET ($)OCT. 20  PRICE ($) IMPLIED RETURN (%)*
Bank of America (BAC)0.309.896.4753
Citigroup (C)0.5042.8430.0842
Goldman Sachs (GS)0.70139.62100.8638
J.P. Morgan (JPM)0.7046.7733.1341
Wells Fargo (WFC)1.1032.5725.7626
*Implied return from Oct.20 closing price to analysts' price target
Source: FactSet Research
Financial stocks have been leaders of past rebounds — particularly the March 2009 rally that led to a near doubling of the S&P 500 Index SPX +1.88% .
Shares in large U.S. banks look pretty darn cheap when measured on a price-to-earnings basis or the more favored price-to-book ratio, which compares the company’s stock price to the value of its assets.
Most bank stocks are trading below their book value — an indication that the banks are either underappreciated assets or companies with serious problems.
J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. JPM +0.45% , considered best in breed among the major U.S. banks, is trading at 0.7 times book value. Citigroup Inc. C +0.20%  trades at 0.5, while Bank of America Corp. BAC +0.31%  is trading at 0.3. Wells Fargo & Co. WFC +0.38%  is trading just above book value.
While bank stocks look tempting at current valuations, investors remain leery following third-quarter earnings reports from the sector. Few professional investors seem convinced that jumping back into bank stocks is the best move —for the time being. Many are acting like special-teams players on a football team, mostly hanging out on the sidelines.
“We’ve begun to nibble but we’re not in with both feet yet,” said Ron Muhlenkamp, whose Wexford, Pa.-based investment firm manages private accounts and runs the Muhlenkamp Fund MUHLX +1.41% .
Muhlenkamp added the firm has bought some shares of J.P. Morgan and Citigroup, but doesn’t have the guts to buy Bank of America, at least not yet.

The case for staying away

No screaming buy signals emerged when large banks issued quarterly results over the past week. The reports were lackluster even though credit quality continues to improve, which has helped banks.

No gloom and doom for banks

David Reilly and Evan Newmark discuss this week's big bank earnings and the current picture it paints for the sector.
“You can’t be bullish about the economy without the banks,” said Timothy Vick, senior portfolio manager of Florida-based Sanibel Captiva Trust Co., which owns J.P. Morgan and Wells Fargo.
Profits were bolstered by the release of money from reserves that previously had been set aside to cover bad loans. Banks also got a profit boost from an accounting adjustment tied to debt obligations. Meanwhile, loan growth was uneven, and trading revenue was hammered by regulatory restrictions and the lack of merger deals and new stock offerings.
An ongoing problem is determining what the earnings power of these banks will ultimately be once the economy comes out of its slump and other roadblocks are cleared, according to Tim Holland, portfolio manager at Tamro Capital Partners in Alexandria, Va.

Continued from page 1
Some of the issues fogging the picture are Europe’s sovereign-debt crisis, the implementation of the Dodd-Frank banking law and changes to debit-card processing fees.
U.S. banks broadly have outlined their exposure to debt-troubled European countries, but no one is exactly sure what the rescue plan put together by government leaders will be or how investors will react.
In addition, the Federal Reserve is engaged in a debt-swap program — dubbed Operation Twist — designed to lower long-term interest rates. This is keeping pressure on loan spreads at banks.
“What we struggle with is profitability,” said Holland, who helps manage the Aston/Tamro Diversified Equity Fund ATLVX +1.76% , which has been adding to its positions in J.P. Morgan and American Express Co. AXP +0.21%
On the plus side, he added, the stocks are “cheap” and the banks “well capitalized.”
Bank stocks were on a seemingly promising run at the start of the year, before reversing in March. For the year to date through Thursday, the S&P Financial Index is down 20% along with a related ETF, the Financial Select SPDR XLF +2.58% .
BAC 6.48, +0.02, +0.31%AAPL 394.50, +1.63, +0.42%
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The KBW Bank Index BKX +1.57% that tracks the 24 leading banks is off 26%, in line with a related ETF, the SPDR KBW Bank Index KBE -0.34% .
“From a sentiment point of view, everyone loves Apple AAPL +0.42%   and hates Bank of America,” said longtime bank investor David Ellison, who runs the FBR Large Cap Financial Fund FBRFX +1.94% and FBR Small Cap Financial FundFBRSX +1.08% .
For the year, Bank of America shares are down 51%, making it the biggest decliner on the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA +2.31% . By comparison, Apple Inc. AAPL +0.42%  is up 23%.

Why to buy now

For investors willingly to gut it out for at least the next five years, a fat payday could on the way, fund managers and stock strategists said.
“There’s an enormous opportunity for these stocks to potentially double,” commented Smith of Capital Advisors, which owns Wells Fargo and Citigroup. “The reality is it’s going to be a pretty bumpy ride in the coming months, so buckle up.”
Based on the consensus 2012 profit forecasts of analysts, Citigroup’s stock is figured to be worth $42.84 a share by the end of next year, a 42% gain over Thursday’s trading price, while J.P. Morgan is seen to be worth $46.77 a share, a 42% gain over current levels, according to FactSet Research.
The average price target on Wells Fargo is $32.57. That would be a 26% increase from Thursday’s price. The price target on Goldman Sachs Group Inc. GS +0.11%  is at $139.62, suggesting it could climb 38% over the next 12 months.
FBR’s Ellison is back in the game after going to 60% cash in 2008. He can’t say for sure when bank stocks will go on a sustained run higher, but he feels far more comfortable about bank balance sheets.
In his opinion and that of most others, banks now have their arms around potential loan losses — unlike a couple years ago. In addition, the companies are sitting on fatter capital cushions while money set aside for bad loans is shrinking.
Psychology has changed too, with banks implementing stricter lending standards and borrowers having more realistic assumptions about the future value of their homes.
While it’s tough to know whether bank stocks have bottomed, the turn upward will be strong, suggested Hugh Johnson, whose Albany, N.Y.-based firm manages $957 million in assets and largely has avoided bank shares.
“It will come like a thief in the night,” he said. “You won’t expect it. There won’t be any signpost.”
For the moment, Johnson is hesitant to put his chips on the table. To him, the relative performance of financial stocks suggests investors believe more bad news is ahead: “I’d rather buy Bank of America at $10 and on the way up.” 
Matt Andrejczak is a reporter for MarketWatch in San Francisco.